Saturday, June 19, 2010

The US' Chances to make it through the group stage...

I am rooting for the US.

So, after yesterday's (unrightful) draw with Slovenia, and England's draw with Algeria, it stands like this:

Slovenia: 4 points
USA: 2 points
England: 2 points
Algeria: 1 point

Ways for the US to Get Through:
  1. England beats Slovenia, USA wins
  2. Slovenia beats England, USA wins
  3. Slovenia beats England, USA ties
  4. England and Slovenia tie, USA wins
  5. England and Slovenia tie, USA ties (this is only a possibility, there would be a tie between England and the US on points and the tiebreaker would be goal differencial).

There is a total of 9 possible combinations of results of the two next games... Now, we just have to wait and see if the US can pull off the result!

PS. It's weird being patriotic...

2 comments:

Andy said...

As for your scenario number 5 (England and Slovenia tie, USA ties):

According to the Regulations for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa TM (http://www.fifa.com/mm/document/tournament/competition/56/42/69/fifawcsouthafrica2010inhalt_e.pdf), here is the formula for tiebreakers:

39 Group stage

5. The ranking of each team in each group will be determined as follows:
a) greatest number of points obtained in all group matches;
b) goal difference in all group matches;
c) greatest number of goals scored in all group matches.

If two or more teams are equal on the basis of the above three criteria, their
rankings will be determined as follows:
d) greatest number of points obtained in the group matches between the
teams concerned;
e) goal difference resulting from the group matches between the teams
concerned;
f) greater number of goals scored in all group matches between the teams
concerned;
g) drawing of lots by the FIFA Organising Committee.

This scenario very much favors the USA, because so far they have scored 3 goals to England's 1. Unless England manages to score 2 more goals in their tie against Slovenia than the USA does in their tie against Algeria, the USA will automatically go through.

Andy said...

Oh, and by the way, did you know the following--

19 Stadiums, fields of play, clocks, displays
– preliminary competition

8. The use of giant screens must be in compliance with the Guidelines for the
Use of Giant Screens at FIFA Matches.
9. Smoking is not permitted in the technical area during matches.

"Hockey ought to be sternly forbidden, as it is not only annoying but dangerous." Halifax Morning Sun, quoted in Michael McKinley's Hockey - A People's History